Predicting athlete preparation and performance: a theoretical perspective
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ABSTRACT:
Predicting future events based on knowledge of initial conditions is a basis of the natural sciences. The discovery of covering laws, based on theory, that fully define these predictions is an objective of science. Sport science has suffered from a paucity of efforts to develop covering law theories that frame sport science research limitations and potential benefits. An adaptation of the contingent-necessity model of historical sequences provides a useful, defensible, and testable theory of the development and performance of athletes in real world settings. This model shows that at the contingency-level, precise predictability is extremely limited, while at the necessity- or constraint-level predictability is much more precise.
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STATISTICS
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