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Predicting athlete preparation and performance: a theoretical perspective

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CONTRIBUTORS:
  Author Sands, W. A.
  Author McNeal, J. R.
JOURNAL:
  Journal of Sport Behavior (JSB), 23(3), 289 - 310.
YEAR: 2000
PUB TYPE: Journal Article
SUBJECT(S): athlete; forecasting; training; achievement; competition; theoretical-model; theory
DISCIPLINE: No discipline assigned
HTTP: https://secure.sportquest.com/su.cfm?articleno=S-659276&title=S-659276
LANGUAGE: English
PUB ID: 103-343-662 (Last edited on 2002/02/27 18:44:14 US/Mountain)
SPONSOR(S):
 
ABSTRACT:
Predicting future events based on knowledge of initial conditions is a basis of the natural sciences. The discovery of covering laws, based on theory, that fully define these predictions is an objective of science. Sport science has suffered from a paucity of efforts to develop covering law theories that frame sport science research limitations and potential benefits. An adaptation of the contingent-necessity model of historical sequences provides a useful, defensible, and testable theory of the development and performance of athletes in real world settings. This model shows that at the contingency-level, precise predictability is extremely limited, while at the necessity- or constraint-level predictability is much more precise.
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