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Dr. J Scott Armstrong  (b.1937, d. ----)

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POSITION(S) / JOB TITLE(S):
Professor
AREAS OF EXPERTISE:
marketing; forecasting; advertising; survey research; social responsibility; peer review
ACADEMIC RANK:
Professor
FACULTY/DEPARTMENT:
Marketing
INSTITUTION/ORGANIZATION:
The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania
EMAIL: (Homepage)
Only Visible to Members of getCITED
HIGHEST DEGREE:
Doctorate (1968)
DEGREE FROM:
Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)
SEX / LANGUAGE:
Male / English
LAST LOGIN:
2006/10/31 08:23:53
MEMBER ID:
1109-0884 (Last changed on 2006/10/31 08:24:56)
JOURNAL ARTICLES IN REVERSE CHRONOLOGICAL ORDER
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  Armstrong, J. Scott; Hubbard, Raymond. (no date) Incompatible Measures of 'Statistical Significance': P's and á's
     (Journal Article )
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  Green, Kesten; Armstrong, J. Scott. (no date) Structured Analogies for Forecasting
     (Journal Article )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott. (2005) The Forecasting Canon: Nine Generalizations to Improve Forecast Accuracy
     (Journal Article in Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott; Collopy, Fred; Yokum, J. Thomas. (2005) Decomposition by Causal Forces: A Procedure for Forecasting Complex Time Series
     (Journal Article in International journal of forecasting )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott; Green, Kesten. (2005) The War in Iraq: Should We Have Expected Better Forecasts?
     (Journal Article in Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott. (2004) Improving Learning at Universities: Who is Responsible
     (Journal Article in University of Pennsylvania Almanac )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott. (2004) Damped Seasonality Factors: Introduction
     (Journal Article in International journal of forecasting )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott. (2004) Commentary on the Mort et al. Paper Does an Academic Research Paper Contain Useful Knowledge? No (p<.05)
     (Journal Article in Australian Marketing Journal )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott. (2003) Review of Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things
     (Journal Article in International journal of forecasting )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott. (2003) How to be Less Persuaded or More Persuasive – Review of Age of Propaganda: The Everyday Use and Abuse of Persuasion
     (Journal Article in Journal of Marketing )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott. (2003) Review of Batchelor Roy, "How Useful are the forecasts of intergovernmental agencies? The IMF and OECD versus the consensus" Applied Economics, 33, 225-235
     (Journal Article in International journal of forecasting )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott. (2003) Incentives for Developing and Communicating Principles: A Reply
     (Journal Article in Interfaces )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott. (2003) Discovery and Communication of Important Marketing Findings: Evidence and Proposals
     (Journal Article in Journal of business research )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott; Pagell, Ruth. (2003) Reaping Benefits from Management Research: Lessons from the Forecasting Principles Project, with Reply to Commentators
     (Journal Article in Interfaces )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott. (2002) Assessing Game Theory, Role Playing, and Unaided Judgment
     (Journal Article in International journal of forecasting )
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  Adya, Monica; Collopy, Fred; Armstrong, J. Scott. (2001) Automatic Identification of Time Series Features for Rule-Based Forecasting
     (Journal Article in International journal of forecasting )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott. (2001) Should We Redesign Forecasting Competitions?
     (Journal Article in International journal of forecasting )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott; Brodie, Roderick J.; Parsons, Andrew G.. (2001) Hypotheses in Marketing Science: Literature Review and Publication Audit
     (Journal Article in Marketing letters )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott; Collopy, Fred. (2001) Identification of Asymmetric Prediction Intervals through Causal Forces
     (Journal Article in Journal of forecasting )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott; Yokum, J. Thomas. (2001) Potential Adoption of Expert Systems in Forecasting: An Application of Diffusion Theory
     (Journal Article in Technological forecasting and social change )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott; Yokum, Thomas. (2001) Potential Diffusion of Expert Systems in Forecasting
     (Journal Article in Technological forecasting and social change )
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  Adya, Monica; Armstrong, J. Scott; Collopy, Fred; Kennedy, M. (2000) An Application of Rule-based Forecasting for a Situation Lacking Domain Knowledge
     (Journal Article in International journal of forecasting )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott; Morwitz, Vicki G.; Kumar, V. (2000) Sales Forecasts for Existing Consumer Products and Services: Do Purchase Intentions Contribute to Accuracy?
     (Journal Article in International journal of forecasting )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott. (1998) Are Student Ratings of Instruction Useful?
     (Journal Article in American Psychologist )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott. (1998) Commentaries on 'Generalizing about Univariate Forecasting Methods: Further Empirical Evidence
     (Journal Article in International journal of forecasting )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott. (1998) Management Science: What Does it Have to do with Management or Science?
     (Journal Article in Marketing bulletin )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott. (1997) Peer Review for Journals: Evidence on Quality Control, Fairness, and Innovation
     (Journal Article in Science and engineering ethics )
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  Hubbard, Raymond; Armstrong, J. Scott. (1997) Publication Bias Against Null Results
     (Journal Article in Psychological Reports )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott. (1996) Management Folklore and Management Science – On Portfolio Planning, Escalation Bias, and Such
     (Journal Article in Interfaces )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott. (1996) Market Share Superstition (Letter)
     (Journal Article in Sloan Management Review )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott; Collopy, Fred. (1996) Competitor Orientation: Effects of Objectives and Information on Managerial Decisions and Profitability
     (Journal Article in JMR Journal of marketing research )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott. (1995) The Devil's Advocate Responds to an MBA Student's Claim that Research Harms Learning
     (Journal Article in Journal of Marketing )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott. (1995) Publication of Research on Controversial Topics: The Early Acceptance Procedure
     (Journal Article in International journal of forecasting )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott. (1995) Quality Control Versus Innovation in Research on Marketing
     (Journal Article in Journal of marketing management )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott; Fildes, Robert. (1995) On the Selection of Error Measures for Comparisons Among Forecasting Methods
     (Journal Article in Journal of forecasting )
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  Yokum, J. Thomas; Armstrong, J. Scott. (1995) Beyond Accuracy: Comparison of Criteria Used to Select Forecasting Methods
     (Journal Article in International journal of forecasting )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott. (1994) Business School Prestige ?Research versus Teaching
     (Journal Article in Interfaces )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott. (1994) Would Mandatory Attendance be Effective for Economics Classes?
     (Journal Article in Internet Publication )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott. (1994) The Fertile Field of Meta-Analysis: Cumulative Progress in Agricultural Forecasting
     (Journal Article in International journal of forecasting )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott; Brodie, Roderick J.. (1994) Effects of Portfolio Planning Methods on Decision Making: Experimental Results
     (Journal Article in International journal of research in marketing )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott; Brodie, Roderick J.. (1994) Portfolio Planning Methods: Faulty Approach or Faulty Research?
     (Journal Article in International journal of research in marketing )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott; Collopy, Fred. (1994) How Serious are Methodological Issues in Surveys: A Reexamination of the Clarence Thomas Polls
     (Journal Article in Internet publication )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott; Collopy, Fred. (1994) The Profitability of Winning
     (Journal Article in Chief executive )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott; Yokum, J. Thomas. (1994) Effectiveness of Monetary Incentives: Mail Surveys to Members of Multinational
     (Journal Article in Industrial marketing management )
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  Collopy, Fred; Adya, Monica; Armstrong, J. Scott. (1994) Principles for Examining Predictive Validity: The Case of Information Systems Spending Forecasts
     (Journal Article in Information systems research ISR a journal of the Institute of Management Sciences )
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  Hubbard, Raymond; Armstrong, J. Scott. (1994) Replications and Extensions in Marketing – Rarely Published But Quite Contrary
     (Journal Article in International journal of research in marketing )
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  MacGregor, D.; Armstrong, J. Scott. (1994) Judgmental Decomposition: When Does It Work?
     (Journal Article in International journal of forecasting )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott; Collopy, Fred. (1993) Causal Forces: Structuring Knowledge for Time-series Extrapolation
     (Journal Article in Journal of forecasting )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott; Coviello, Nicole; Safranek, Barbara. (1993) Escalation Bias: Does It Extend to Marketing?
     (Journal Article in Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott. (1992) Editorial Policies for the Publication of Controversial Findings
     (Journal Article in International journal of forecasting )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott; Collopy, Fred. (1992) Error Measures for Generalizing about Forecasting Methods: Empirical Comparisons
     (Journal Article in International journal of forecasting )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott; Schultz, Randall L. . (1992) Principles Involving Marketing Policies: An Empirical Assessment
     (Journal Article in Marketing letters )
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  Collopy, Fred; Armstrong, J. Scott. (1992) Expert Opinions about Extrapolation and the Mystery of the Overlooked Discontinuities
     (Journal Article in International journal of forecasting )
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  Collopy, Fred; Armstrong, J. Scott. (1992) Rule-Based Forecasting: Development and Validation of an Expert Systems Approach to Combining Time Series Extrapolations
     (Journal Article in Management Science (MSc) )
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  Hubbard, Raymond; Armstrong, J. Scott. (1992) Are Null Results Becoming an Endangered Species in Marketing?
     (Journal Article in Marketing letters )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott. (1991) Prediction of Consumer Behavior by Experts and Novices
     (Journal Article in The Journal of consumer research )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott. (1991) Strategic Planning Improves Manufacturing Performance
     (Journal Article in Long range planning )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott; Hubbard, Raymond. (1991) Does the Need for Agreement Among Reviewers Inhibit the Publication of Controversial Findings?
     (Journal Article in Behavioral and Brain Sciences )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott. (1990) The Case for Minimum Teaching Standards
     (Journal Article in Almanac (University of Pennsylvania) )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott. (1990) Class of Mail Does Affect Response Rates to Mailed Questionnaires: Evidence from Meta-Analysis
     (Journal Article in Journal of the Market Research Society )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott. (1989) Combining Forecasts: The End of the Beginning or the Beginning of the End?
     (Journal Article in International journal of forecasting )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott. (1989) Readability and Prestige in Scientific Journals
     (Journal Article in Journal of Information Science )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott. (1989) On the Effectiveness of Marketing Planning
     (Journal Article in New Zealand journal of business )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott; Hutcherson, Philip D.. (1989) Predicting The Outcome of Marketing Negotiations: Role-Playing versus Unaided Opinions
     (Journal Article in International journal of research in marketing )
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  Dakin, S.; Armstrong, J. Scott. (1989) Predicting Job Performance: A Comparison of Expert Opinion and Research Findings
     (Journal Article in Journal of forecasting )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott. (1988) Review of Ravi Batra, The Great Depression of 1990
     (Journal Article in International journal of forecasting )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott. (1988) Communication of Research in Forecasting: The Journal
     (Journal Article in International journal of forecasting )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott; Brodie, R. J.; McIntyre, S.. (1987) Forecasting Methods for Marketing: Review of Empirical Research
     (Journal Article in International journal of forecasting )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott; Lusk, Edward J.. (1987) Return Postage in Mail Surveys: A Meta Analysis
     (Journal Article in Public opinion quarterly )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott. (1986) Research on Forecasting: A Quarter-Century Review, 1960-1984
     (Journal Article in Interfaces )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott. (1986) The Value of Formal Planning for Strategic Decisions: A Reply
     (Journal Article in Strategic Management Journal )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott; Dagum, Estella Bee; Fildes, Robert; Makridakis, Spyros. (1986) Publishing Standards for Research in Forecasting (Editorial)
     (Journal Article in International journal of forecasting )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott. (1984) Forecasting by Extrapolation: Conclusions from 25 Years of Research
     (Journal Article in Interfaces )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott. (1983) Learner Responsibility in Management Education, or Ventures into Forbidden Research
     (Journal Article in Interfaces )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott. (1983) Relative Accuracy of Judgmental and Extrapolative Methods in Forecasting Annual Earnings
     (Journal Article in Journal of forecasting )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott. (1983) The Importance of Objectivity and Falsification in Management Science
     (Journal Article in Journal of Management (JofM) )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott. (1983) Cheating in Management Science
     (Journal Article in Interfaces )
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  Armstrong, J. Scott. (1983) Review of Intentional Changes: A Fresh Approach to Helping People Change, by Allen Tough
     (Journal Article in Academy of Management Review AMR )
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